Climate Change Distributed Modelling...

[Anex]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/hottopics/climatechange/

Like SETI but running climate change models to try and get a more accurate prediction of what will happen over the coming years.

 

[la toilette]

I read about that, but I decided that if their modelling model wasn't modelled correctly then however many PC's are churning away it doesn't mean they'll ever come up with the right answer....

Anyway, I turn my PC off when I'm not using it

 

[Anex]

I read about that, but I decided that if their modelling model wasn't modelled correctly then however many PC's are churning away it doesn't mean they'll ever come up with the right answer....

Its better than nothing though. I turn off too but not everyone does, at least its doing something vaguely useful that way.

 

[anon_bb]

I would imagine they use probablisitc distributions samples of which are then distributed - it gives a more robust result and you dont need to have the model exactly right.

 

[greg]

Anyway, I turn my PC off when I'm not using it

superb irony

 

[greg]

I would imagine they use probablisitc distributions samples of which are then distributed - it gives a more robust result and you dont need to have the model exactly right.

AKA guessing

 

[domfjbrown]

I would imagine they use probablisitc distributions samples of which are then distributed

Isn't the proper name for that "ensemble" forecast modelling? I should know this, but get bored to tears editing all the stuff for our website...

 

[anon_bb]

No its not guessing it is producing a probabilistic range of outcomes and reduces the individual model dependency.

Yes it is called ensemble forecast modelling.